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Parametric Uncertainty Analysis of Complex System Reliability

Volume 5, Number 2, January 2009 - SC 14   - pp. 197 - 199

Peng Wang1 and Tongdan Jin2

1Hamilton Sundstrand Power Systems, 4400 Ruffin Rd., San Diego, CA, 92123, USA
2Texas A & M International University, Laredo, TX, 78041, USA

(Received on August 1, 2008, revision available on October 21, 2008)


This paper studies the uncertainties of component reliability parameters and their impact on system lifetime distribution. Monte Carlo simulation was applied to investigate the correlation between the system complexity and its Weibull shape parameter when component reliability parameters are estimated with uncertainties. Results show the system lifetime approaches the exponential distribution when the number of components becomes large.


References: 06

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